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NCEO Brief
The Characteristics of Low Performing
Students on Large-Scale Assessments
January 2010
Background
All students, including
students with disabilities, are required
to participate in state assessments used
for accountability purposes. Most
participate in the general test, with or
without accommodations. A few with
significant cognitive disabilities
participate in alternate assessments
based on alternate achievement standards
(AA-AAS). A small group of students with
disabilities may not be appropriately
assessed with these options and several
states offer an additional assessment
option—alternate assessments based on
modified achievement standards (AA-MAS).1
According to federal
regulations students who participate in
an AA-MAS must be served by an
Individualized Education Program (IEP).
They also must be able to make
significant progress, but not be
expected to reach grade-level
proficiency, within the year covered by
their IEP. The regulations require that
students who participate in an AA-MAS
have access to grade level content and
they may be from any disability
category. The AA-MAS is an optional
assessment and many states do not offer
it. Federal regulations require states
that offer an AA-MAS to develop
participation guidelines that IEP teams
can use to determine which students with
disabilities qualify to participate in
this option. It is up to states to
decide (subject to federal approval) who
the students are and the criteria that
will be used to identify them.
States need to have a
clear understanding of how students who
may participate in an AA-MAS differ from
other students. To this end, the National Center on Educational Outcomes
and a consortium of five2
states investigated the characteristics
of the students who may be candidates
for an AA-MAS.
The
Longitudinal Study
This brief reports the
findings of a longitudinal analysis of
three years of student-level demographic
and performance data for four states
(Alabama, Hawaii, South Dakota,
Wisconsin).3 Data were from
the 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07 school
years.4 Data sets were
compiled for each state for students who
were in grades 5 and 8 during the
2006-07 school year,5 and
included student performance data on the
regular Reading/English Language Arts
(ELA) and Mathematics assessment.
The goal of this
analysis was to learn more about the
characteristics of low performing
students. For this analysis, low
performing (LP) students were
defined as students who scored at the
10th percentile or below on the
statewide assessment in any one of the
three years. Persistently low
performing (PLP) students were
defined as students who scored at the
10th percentile or below for all three
years. Federal regulations require that
students who participate in an AA-MAS
must have an IEP. This means that low
performing students without disabilities
are excluded from participating in
AA-MAS. For research purposes we sought
to learn more about the characteristics
of all struggling learners, and included
both low performing students with and
without IEPs in this study.
Specifically, this analysis sought to
answer the following questions:
-
Are the
demographic
characteristics of PLP
students different from
the characteristics of
the total population of
students?
-
Is there
movement out of the low
performing (LP)
category?
Characteristics of Persistently Low
Performing (PLP) Students
The results of the
demographic analysis are reported in
Figure 1. The figure presents results of
four demographic analyses for all
students and for PLP students at the 5th
and 8th grade levels for Reading/ELA in
the four states. Though not included in
this brief, there were similar findings
for mathematics.
Gender. Figure 1a
shows that across both grades in the
four states males were more likely to be
persistently low performing than the
overall population (PLP = 60% - 77%;
baseline = 51% - 52%).
Minority Status.
Figure 1b shows the percentage of
minority students in the overall
population and in the PLP group. Note
that for Hawaii the group considered to
be the majority would be considered a
minority in the other three states. In
Hawaii PLP students were less likely to
be from an ethnic minority than the
overall population (PLP = 13% - 15%;
baseline = 16% - 17%). For the other
three states, students who were PLP were
more likely to be from an ethnic
minority than the overall student
population (PLP = 43% - 58%; Baseline =
14% - 35%).
Free and Reduced Lunch.
Figure 1c shows that across both grades,
in three6 states, students
who were living in poverty (i.e.,
qualified for a free/reduced lunch) were
more likely to be PLP than the overall
population (PLP = 48% - 71%; baseline =
29% - 44%).
Special Education. Figure 1d
shows the percentage of students with an
Individualized Education Plan (IEP) in
the PLP group. As indicated in the
figure, 9% to 13% of students received
special education services, but more
than half (i.e., 55% - 77%) of the
students in the PLP group belonged to
this subgroup.
Figure 1.
Percentage of
Students with Selected Demographic
Characteristics: All Students and
Persistently Low Performing (PLP)
Students, Reading, Grades 5 and 8

Student Movement Out of the Low
Performing Group
In this section we
explore the movement of students out of
the low performing groups. Figure 2
presents Year 3 results and indicates
what ensued for students who had been
low performing (LP) in Year 1. For this
analysis four groups were formed—the
persistently low performing (PLP) group,
students who were LP in both the first
and third year, students who were in LP
in the first and second year, and
students who were only in the LP group
during the first year. The denominator
of the percentages in Figure 2 is the
number of students who were in the LP
group in the first year. Two analyses
were conducted—one for students who were
in 5th grade in Year 3 and another for
students who were in 8th grade in Year
3. The figure presents the results for
reading, but there were similar results
for mathematics.
As shown in Figure 2,
across all states and grade levels more
than half of the students who were LP in
the first year did not become PLP
students. Across states and grade levels
approximately 25% (24% - 28%) of the
students moved out of the LP group after
the first year and did not return. There
were no clear differences between data
at the 5th grade level and data at the
8th grade level.
Figure 2.
Percentage of Low
Performing (LP) Students Who Stay or
Move Out of LP Across Three Years

Conclusions
Though many state data
have been showing recent gains in the
percent of students reaching proficiency
(Altman, Thurlow, & Vang, 2009;
Chudowsky, Chudowsky, & Kober, 2007),
educators are aware that there is a
segment of students who are performing
far below proficiency year in and year
out on the state regular assessment.
This analysis was an attempt to learn
more about the characteristics of these
students by using longitudinal
student-level data from four states in a
Multi-State GSEG. The findings indicate
that male students, minority students,
and students from low socio-economic
backgrounds were more likely to be
persistently low performing (PLP). PLP
students included both students who
qualified for special education services
and general education students. Also,
many low performing students do not
become PLP, and student grade did not
seem to affect likelihood of becoming
PLP.
Some low performing
students may not have had access to
grade-level content which is another
requirement of the federal regulations (Quenemoen,
2009). Focusing on ensuring that
students are being taught well should be
a top priority.
Resources
Altman, J., Thurlow M., & Vang. V.
(2009). Annual performance report:
2006-2007 state assessment data.
Minneapolis MN: National Center on
Educational Outcomes, University of
Minnesota.
Chudowsky, N., & Chudowsky, V., & Kober,
N. (2007). Answering the question
that matters most: Has student
achievement increased since No Child
Left Behind? Washington DC: Center
on Educational Policy.
National Center on Educational Outcomes.
(2009, November 9). State alternate
assessment policies. Retrieved from
http://www.cehd.umn.edu/nceo/TopicAreas/AlternateAssessments/StatesAltAssess.htm
Quenemoen, R. (2009). Identifying and
understanding the population. In M.
Perie (Ed.), Considerations for the
alternate assessment based on modified
achievement standards (AA-MAS):
Understanding the eligible population
and applying that knowledge to their
instruction and assessment (pp.
17-50). Albany, NY: New York Department
of Education.
1 In addition to
the options discussed in this paragraph,
three states have an Alternate
Assessment Based on Grade-Level
Achievement Standards (AA-GLAS)
(National Center on Educational
Outcomes, 2009).
2 The Multi-GSEG
Toward a Defensible AA-MAS and the
Alabama GSEG Project includes Alabama,
Hawaii, South Dakota, Tennessee, and
Wisconsin.
3 In this brief,
four states’ data are presented because
the full population data for Tennessee
were unavailable at the time of
publication.
4 The data set for
Wisconsin was for the 2005-06, 2006-07,
2007-08 school years.
5 In Wisconsin,
students were in grades 5 and 8 during
the 2007-08 school year.
6 Socio-economic status data
were not available for Alabama.
This Brief was prepared
by Sheryl S. Lazarus, Yi-Chen Wu, Jason
Altman, and Martha L. Thurlow. All rights
reserved. Any or all portions of this
document may be reproduced and
distributed without prior permission,
provided the source is cited as:
Lazarus, S., Wu,
Y.-C., Altman, J., & Thurlow, M.
(2010).
NCEO brief: The characteristics of
low performing students on
large-scale assessments.
Minneapolis, MN: University of
Minnesota, National Center on
Educational Outcomes.
NCEO Brief is published
by the National Center on Educational
Outcomes. The Center is supported
through a Cooperative Agreement
(#H326G050007) with the Research to
Practice Division, Office of Special
Education Programs, U.S. Department of
Education. Additional support for
targeted projects, including those on
English language learners, is provided
by other federal and state agencies. The
Center is affiliated with the Institute
on Community Integration at the College
of Education and Human Development,
University of Minnesota. Opinions
expressed herein do not necessarily
reflect those of the U.S. Department of
Education or Offices within it. This
document is available in alternative
formats upon request.
National Center on
Educational Outcomes
University of Minnesota
• 207 Pattee Hall
150 Pillsbury Dr. SE •
Minneapolis, MN 55455
Phone 612/626-1530 • Fax
612/624-0879
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